What future is there for the Republican Party and the Socialist Party?


The presidential election was the ultimate reward for Emmanuel Macron – the President of the Republic. He campaigned for this opportunity, an opportunity to preside over a reshaping of the political landscape. From this day forward, the political spectrum and the debate which surrounds it will be focused on one question; can the Socialist Party… Read more »

The difficulties encountered when politics is over-simplified


It is understandable how academic commentary has been stimulated over recent months but in the aftermath of the Forward! (En Marche!) political victory it is important to remember the fundamental points. The use ‘populism’ as a catch-all phrase to characterise the positions of both Marine Le Pen, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and, to a lesser extent Emmanuel… Read more »

A bowling alley election


A great deal has already been said about this presidential election: a hold-up, an unforgettable election, a coconut-shy election, a populist election, a disaster for the so-called mainstream parties, the demonisation of the National Front … and many many more. In reality all of this can be said to be true. Though these terms are… Read more »

The project of Marine Le Pen will lead to benefits for the better off


Although stigmatisation of foreigners has been the mainspring of the National Front since its foundation, the far-right party is now trying to present itself as “the voice of the people” and defender of the weak by investing in economic and social issues. The inability of successive governments to provide convincing answers to rising inequalities, lack… Read more »

Fluctuating democracy: the volatile state


Does the 2017 presidential election not appear to have more in common with a television series than a serious political campaign? Gilles Finchelstein, Director General at the Jean-Jaurès Foundation explains how we have entered a new state of democracy. For example, this election has all the characteristics required whether this is a succession of unexpected… Read more »

Four Frances in a stand-off


Cut into four. Divided, fractured. Frédéric Dabi, Deputy Director General of Ifop, and Chloé Morin, Director of the Opinion Observatory of the Foundation, offer an analysis of France in the first round of the 2017 presidential election. France woke up on the morning after this first presidential round a bit En Marche, a bit rebellious,… Read more »

Five lessons after the first round


Last Sunday did not disappoint with the first round of the presidential election in France. The election delivered on its promise. A Sunday of uppercuts and heavy blows unfolded before us. Consider this: 1- The National Front (FN) have qualified for the second round of a major election within the French political system and this is… Read more »

The last few weeks of an atypical campaign

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The spectre of a Mélenchon / Le Pen second round favoured Emmanuel Macron The end of March and the beginning of April were marked by the striking progress achieved by Jean-Luc Mélenchon – within a month the transformation in voting intentions was significant; from 10.5% on 17 March to 19.5% on 17 April. The Unsubmissive… Read more »

Divides within politics

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To be effective, democracy requires a certain degree of political divide within the spectrum to allow all individuals amongst us to make a personal choice during the election. To deny that such a divide forms an integral part of the political landscape will lead to the creation of an impasse – not a political one,… Read more »

Presidential election 2017: the dynamic Mélenchon


A second round where Jean-Luc Mélenchon faces Marine Le Pen? Is this possible? How far can Jean-Luc Mélenchon go? Will Emmanuel Macron fall at the first round? Answers provided by Chloé Morin, Director at the Research Centre for public opinion of the Jean-Jaurès Foundation and Esteban Pratviel, Team leader, Strategies and Public Opinion Department of… Read more »